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bluetech

Obesity rate in the future

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Another study has just come out predicting that in 10 years nearly half of all adults in the US will be obese. What's more is that they predict that nearly 25% of adults will be "severely obese", having a BMI of over 35 or being over 100 pounds overweight. 

It will be a golden age for FAs.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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There is no reason to expect this trend to stop, we live pretty sedentary lives for the most part, just 100 extra calories a day equals 36,500 in a year, a pound is like 3,500 calories, so you can gain 10 lbs a year, or 100 in a decade, unless you have the metabolism that allows you to eat anything and not gain weight, even that vanishes with age !

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It's a self-reinforcing cycle. Girls are growing up with already 40% of the adult women around them overweight and over. Currently, the older a woman is, the more of her friends around her will (also) be big. That severely distorts the frame of reference women have. If almost half of the people around you is 190+ lbs, you'll feel you're doing pretty good still at you 175 lbs.

I love watching reality shows like Live PD for that reason. You see how common large, big fat women are becoming, and often when you see one, she'll be in the presence of 2-3 more, making her look perfectly normal.

I really can't complain

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Went out to a comedy club last night and noticed that the thin women were in the minority - almost 100% of the ladies there were carrying an extra 40-100 pounds in my estimation, and some of them dressed quite nicely, tight dresses for some, big fat hanging belly visible, and bus-sized butts on the other side. Was a pleasure to see. :) 

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I don't think we have to go as extreme as 80 percent obese, allow some to slot into just merely overweight and some as normal/ skinny !

I'll do a normal weight woman, but prefer around 225-250 lbs.

It's actually rare to find a girl/woman that isn't overweight especially at middle age, even many HS/ college age chicks are 20-30 lbs past a 25 BMI, even children !

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No problem with people continuing to eat junk food and get fat, that ain't gonna stop in your lifetime, the challenge is now to find a gal that isn't at Least 25 lbs overweight, if you like em skinny, that doesn't apply to most guys here, most dudes here have no weight limit at all.

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On 12/19/2019 at 4:25 PM, bluetech said:

Another study has just come out predicting that in 10 years nearly half of all adults in the US will be obese. What's more is that they predict that nearly 25% of adults will be "severely obese", having a BMI of over 35 or being over 100 pounds overweight. 

It will be a golden age for FAs.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

If 50 per cent of the female population are obese of which half (25 per cent of total) are severely obese it's reasonable to conclude that in that scenario practically 100 per cent of females would be at least overweight and females within their "right" BMI would be a statistical oddity. That's a really exciting scenario.

Ever since I've been aware of the obesity epidemic I've been fearing obesity figures would start to go down, with public health campaigns, etc, but every year they keep growing. I hope this study is right, but I'm afraid that sooner or later science will find a "cure" for obesity.

 

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It's hard to me to believe  that we will reach ever those obesity rates since (almost) no woman wants to be fat. But the truth is, despite of all the efforts to stop the 'obesity epidemy' the number of obese people is still growing in most countries.

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On 1/15/2020 at 3:06 AM, das Hirschlein said:

It's hard to me to believe  that we will reach ever those obesity rates since (almost) no woman wants to be fat. But the truth is, despite of all the efforts to stop the 'obesity epidemy' the number of obese people is still growing in most countries.

Very valid points,dad.very few women in mainstream society want to be fat and most try not to be the fat chick and they are quite creative in coming up with ways to hide an extra 20-30 lbs on their tummy, very few women like this that are so self conscious of their soft tummy will ever wear something like a bikini or a crop top that exposes that belly, unfortunately these gals usually don't want their lovers to even touch or enjoy the feminine beauty of a soft belly.

There are certainly many women that might stray beyond that 25 BMI number a bit and not allow themselves to get close to that 30 obese number, then there are those naturally slim babes that can eat anything and can't gain weight if they wanted to, others just maintain at 22-25 with some effort to stay that way, every woman has a scale and likely weighs herself nude before every shower, I do that and i I'm a guy.

Weight gain/loss isn't as simple as just calories in vs out.

I don't want every woman to be obese, then there would be nothing to differentiate a fat girl from a thin one ! 

Most overweight/ obese women would surely desire to lose those extra 20,50,100 or whatever number of lbs. I'd gladly drop my extra 150 lbs if I had Tony Nelson's Jeannie and she could just blink it gone ! Most of us get fat because we won't make any sustained effort to not be fat, we just let ourselves go and don't care, there is an equally fat partner for all of fatties no matter what your orientation, or maybe a slim gal that likes a fat guy or the reverse ?

What I most respect is the fat girl that doesn't try to hide her belly but instead intentionally wears crop top, low waisted outfits and enjoys letting the world see her fat flabby sexy soft blubber and even invites you to feel her Luvvies and just flaunts and enjoys her body.

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On 12/19/2019 at 4:25 PM, bluetech said:

Another study has just come out predicting that in 10 years nearly half of all adults in the US will be obese. What's more is that they predict that nearly 25% of adults will be "severely obese", having a BMI of over 35 or being over 100 pounds overweight. 

It will be a golden age for FAs.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

 

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It's not going to be uniform and while I think what OP references is plausible, but there is an upper ceiling to weight imho as weight gain is not uniform in society. The wealthy can afford to keep in shape and don't suffer as much from some of the factors driving societal obesity.

Personally, while obviously there's an aesthetic attachment as with other people on this site, I don't want everyone to be 300lb sweaty lardballs, especially not unless that's what they want for themselves. It's kinda sad that there's a limited ability for people in current society to make decisions they might otherwise regarding exercise or food that they can't due to constantly working overtime, price inflation, 'food deserts' and the like. You can't be expected to exercise and eat right if you're constantly pumped with cortisol in your job and the only place to eat nearby is a dunkin' donuts or what have you. People should have more agency about their appearance, otherwise they will never be at peace with themselves; I'd rather hang out with a happy and chill pudgy person than a depressed, self-loathing blimp.

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In Asia the younger generation is going to be a lot taller as well as bigger boned and have more muscle and fat. Many of them look nothing like their parents or grandparents. I think its a combination of more wealth to eat enough, some western snacks and I have a strong suspicion parasites made some of the people so tiny in the past because in the current young generation you almost never see people this tiny anymore. In the west things may have maxed out, or not, but in the rest of the world far from it.

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I dunno. I think we're likely to see more and more of the "medicalization" of obesity as a "disease." And as that paradigm takes hold, we are more and more likely to see medications and surgeries recommended to "cure" or "manage" the "illness." The net result, I would speculate, will be a significant drop in the obesity rate.

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